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Tag: Economic Cycle

Warsh Takes Office, Kicks Off QT: Will We Enter a Liquidity Tightening Cycle?

Posted on 2026-05-312026-05-31 by Chad Lin

Goodbye, Powell! Amid domestic and global uncertainties, Kevin Warsh officially took over the Fed on May 22. He said at his inauguration ceremony that he would “lead a reform-focused Fed” and emphasized his commitment to taming inflation. Today, with oil prices still hovering around $100, Warsh faces huge challenges. The whole market is watching how…

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Kevin Warsh Hearing: Is the Fed About to Change?

Posted on 2026-05-022026-05-02 by Chad Lin

Every trader lives under the same sky. That sky is the Federal Reserve. In about half a month, Jerome Powell will step down. The likely successor is Kevin Warsh. Young, ambitious, and ready to make a mark. As the saying goes, a new leader brings new changes. And Warsh is not holding back. He is…

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How Will the US-Iran War End, and What’s Next for Markets?

Posted on 2026-04-052026-04-05 by Chad Lin

Markets finally got some good news. Stocks, gold, and silver are rallying because both the U.S. and Iran are showing signs of easing tensions. Trump said he may withdraw troops within “two to three weeks,” claiming that “the objective has been achieved.” Meanwhile, Iranian President Pezeshkian stated that they have a “genuine willingness to end…

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Lessons from History: Stagflation in the 1970s

Posted on 2026-03-282026-03-28 by Chad Lin

The conflict between the U.S. and Iran is escalating, with no sign of easing. Iran has once again proven to be a “tough nut” in the Middle East, far from easy to break. Iran’s real weapons are not jets or tanks. They are the economy, the Strait of Hormuz, energy, and inflation. In recent months,…

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Will the Economy Crash: War, Oil, and the Return of Inflation

Posted on 2026-03-222026-03-22 by Chad Lin

The only thing we can be certain of is that, with oil prices rising, the dream of a rate cut has been shattered.

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The Current Economic Cycle and The Opportunity for 2026

Posted on 2026-02-142026-02-14 by Chad Lin

Happy Valentine’s Day! We are already two months into 2026. The market seems not quiet. Stocks, cryptocurrencies, and gold rise and then plummet. $1 trillion has been wiped out from the US stock market today. People are apprehensive, frightened, and afraid. They want to know what comes next. 1. I’m Positive About the World Economy…

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Recent Posts

  • Warsh Takes Office, Kicks Off QT: Will We Enter a Liquidity Tightening Cycle?
  • How Long Will This Memory Chip Rally Last?
  • Kevin Warsh Hearing: Is the Fed About to Change?
  • Whose Throat is the Strait of Hormuz Gripping?
  • Where Is the Market Heading: Interpretation of March CPI and NFP Data

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